An Analytical Comparison of Various Influential Models of China’s Future Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Global Role

Abstract

Projections regarding future energy consumption and carbon emissions are crucial when the aim is to design policy for global emissions control. What is the different models’ take on the projections for global emissions and, in particular, China’s role in the global picture? Do they anticipate similar results? If not, why are the results different? What key parameters do they use, and how do they affect the final findings? This Article attempts to answer these questions and, starting from there, to further analyze what it means for the challenge of China’s future emissions reduction potential and for the overall goal of global emissions reduction.